Svakakav ned 1.6.2025 01:17

Ono što bugovci nisu naveli da je dotična poznata i kao Queen of the dot-com bubble (pametnom dosta) 

 

Nego, kad su svi stručnjaci za AI I futuristi, evo malo prijepisa sa https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Technological_unemployment

 

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Automation did result in a decrease in labour's income share as it raised productivity but not wages.[ Dauth, Wolfgang; Findeisen, Sebastian; Suedekum, Jens; Woessner, Nicole September 2017 SSRN 3039031]
While early machines lowered the demand for muscle power, they were unintelligent and needed large numbers of human operators to remain productive. Yet since the introduction of computers into the workplace, there is now less need not just for muscle power but also for human brain power. Hence even as productivity continues to rise, the lower demand for human labour may mean less pay and employment.[Vivarelli, Marco (January 2012, Carl Benedikt Frey & Michael A. Osborne 2013]


Consequences of innovation which "compensate" workers for job losses initially caused by new technology;

By new machines. (The labour needed to build the new equipment that applied innovation requires.)
By new investments. (Enabled by the cost savings and therefore increased profits from the new technology.)
By changes in wages. (In cases where unemployment does occur, this can cause a lowering of wages, thus allowing more workers to be re-employed at the now lower cost. On the other hand, sometimes workers will enjoy wage increases as their profitability rises. This leads to increased income and therefore increased spending, which in turn encourages job creation.)
By lower prices. (Which then lead to more demand, and therefore more employment.) Lower prices can also help offset wage cuts, as cheaper goods will increase workers' buying power.
By new products. (Where innovation directly creates new jobs.)

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Ukratko, po svih 5 točaka stvar ne funkcionira (objašnjeno dalje u wiki članku, zajedno sa linkovima na istraživačke radove)

Jednom kad AGI zamjeni "brain power" imat ćemo tzv. "jobless growth" ili što Ameri kažu "going to hell in a handbasket"

..evo što kaže CEO Anthropica ($61.5B)  https://www.thestreet.com/personal-finance/major-ai-ceo-sounds-alarm-on-coming-layoff-bloodbath

Već sad je svima jasno da je svaka generacija sve dublje u ...